Modesto Eviction Risk: Moderate

Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. Against the Stanislaus County average of 6.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.2/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $121,992, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.