Modesto Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Average gross rent is $2,213, 31% above the Modesto average. Cost burden runs 57% here against 47.5% across Stanislaus County.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Stanislaus County average of 6.5. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.2/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.