Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Mill Creek North Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031014902 · Duval, FL · pop 8,298 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12031014902 (the Mill Creek North area of Jacksonville, Florida) comes in at 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,372 a month against an average household income of $72,508 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units3,285
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$72,508
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3568, -81.5642 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mill Creek North scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,372 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Mill Creek North compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 838Total filings over 10 yrs
- 9.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.3%Peak (2013)
- 77Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 31% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 711Total filings 2020-21
- 9.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.29×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mill Creek North. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mill Creek North
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 3.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.29x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031014902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014902?
Census tract 12031014902 in the Mill Creek North neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031014902?
Median gross rent is $1,372/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014902?
13.9% of residents in tract 12031014902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,298.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 72th, minority 69th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 12031014902 considered part of Mill Creek North?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031014902 fall within Mill Creek North (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031014902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 838 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031014902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.31% of renter households, peaking at 15.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031014902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031014902 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031014902 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002702
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031015502
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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