Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Mill Creek North Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031014604 · Duval, FL · pop 5,758 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 12031014604 sits in the Mill Creek North area of Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 5,758 residents. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units3,178
Renter share76.4%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate24.8%
Median income$46,989
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3317, -81.5460 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mill Creek North scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.8% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,485 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Mill Creek North compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,534Total filings over 10 yrs
- 11.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.5%Peak (2011)
- 142Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,345Total filings 2020-21
- 17.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 20.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.87×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mill Creek North. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mill Creek North
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $46,989 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against Duval County at 49.2%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Court records carry 1,534 eviction filings across 10 observed years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 12.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 11.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,485, close to the Jacksonville average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031014604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014604?
Census tract 12031014604 in the Mill Creek North neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031014604?
Median gross rent is $1,485/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014604?
24.8% of residents in tract 12031014604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,758.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 50th, minority 72th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 12031014604 considered part of Mill Creek North?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031014604 fall within Mill Creek North (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031014604?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,534 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031014604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.17% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031014604 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.87× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031014604 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031014604 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Norwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012602
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riverside
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031002801
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011600
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031002802
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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