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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Abbey Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Valrico

Tract 12057013205 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 9,218 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

12057013205 is a census tract in the Abbey Grove area of Valrico, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 9,218 residents. Cost burden runs 82% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 4% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units3,036
Renter share19.7%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$122,372

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Abbey Grove
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Valrico
Very Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#293 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Valrico and the region

Centroid at 27.9191, -82.2313 · click any tract to drill in

Why Abbey Grove scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Valrico
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,662 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valrico
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valrico
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valrico
6.3

How Abbey Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Abbey Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0132053.8Valricoparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 125Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 5.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2016)
  • 25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057013205
Filings climbed 317% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 150Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.28×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Abbey Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Abbey Grove

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

Court records carry 125 eviction filings across 11 observed years. At $1,662 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Valrico commands. The worst year on record was 2016, when 4.6% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013205

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013205?

Census tract 12057013205 in the Abbey Grove neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013205?

Median gross rent is $1,662/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013205?

9.5% of residents in tract 12057013205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,218.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 8th, minority 64th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013205 considered part of Abbey Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013205 fall within Abbey Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013205?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 125 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013205 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.81% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013205 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.28× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013205 compare to Valrico overall?

Tract 12057013205 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Valrico at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valrico; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Valrico

Top eight tracts in Valrico ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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