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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

North Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate , Miami Beach

Tract 12086003921 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 3,111 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 12086003921 sits in the North Beach area of Miami Beach eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. Against Miami-Dade County at 57.9%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 24% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,226
Renter share38.3%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$104,453

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 10 tracts In North Beach
Low
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 29 tracts In Miami Beach
Very Low
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#334 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Moderate
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#1,664 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Miami Beach and the region

Centroid at 25.8427, -80.1198 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Beach scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami Beach
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,959 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami Beach
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami Beach
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami Beach
7.6

How North Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 003921Miami Beach: 5.95.9Miami Beachparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 16Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 1.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.6%Peak (2015)
  • 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 34Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (2.99× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (11.76× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (2.99× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (11.76× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Beach

Average gross rent is $2,959, 62% above the Miami Beach average. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.

The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $104,453, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The voucher gap is 27.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Court records carry 16 eviction filings across 2 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 1.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086003921

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003921?

Census tract 12086003921 in the North Beach neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086003921?

Median gross rent is $2,959/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003921?

5.9% of residents in tract 12086003921 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,111.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003921?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 33th, minority 72th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 12086003921 considered part of North Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086003921 fall within North Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086003921?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086003921 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.22% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12086003921 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12086003921 compare to Miami Beach overall?

Tract 12086003921 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Miami Beach at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12086003921 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Miami Beach

Top eight tracts in Miami Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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