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Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105013802 · Polk, FL · pop 6,343 · 54% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Tract 12105013802 covers Winter Haven in Florida. Home to 6,343 residents, it scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 47% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 31% of renter households, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,145 monthly, set against $51,131 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 25% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,681
Renter share36.1%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$51,131

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Elevated
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#49 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#1,095 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,735 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.0076, -81.7554 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,145 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 013802Winter Haven: 2.42.4Winter Havenparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 910Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 8.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.6%Peak (2003)
  • 38Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050138022000: 43 filings (6.83/100 renter HHs)2001: 66 filings (10.48/100 renter HHs)2002: 43 filings (6.83/100 renter HHs)2003: 92 filings (14.60/100 renter HHs)2004: 57 filings (9.05/100 renter HHs)2005: 65 filings (9.43/100 renter HHs)2007: 67 filings (9.72/100 renter HHs)2008: 48 filings (6.97/100 renter HHs)2009: 47 filings (6.82/100 renter HHs)2010: 43 filings (6.60/100 renter HHs)2011: 47 filings (8.25/100 renter HHs)2012: 50 filings (8.77/100 renter HHs)2013: 54 filings (9.47/100 renter HHs)2014: 62 filings (10.88/100 renter HHs)2015: 48 filings (8.42/100 renter HHs)2016: 40 filings (4.87/100 renter HHs)2017: 38 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Haven, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 910 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 8.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.6% of renter households in 2003.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013802?

Census tract 12105013802 in Winter Haven scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013802?

Median gross rent is $1,145/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013802?

17.2% of residents in tract 12105013802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,343.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 80th, minority 71th, housing 51th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 910 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.39% of renter households, peaking at 14.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105013802 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105013802 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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