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Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105014501 · Polk, FL · pop 10,401 · 13% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

With a score of 4.4/10, tract 12105014501 in Winter Haven, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 10,401. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 10% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units3,502
Renter share19.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$58,512

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Moderate
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#1,779 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,813 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 27.9347, -81.7404 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,216 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0145014.0Winter Havenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 441Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 5.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.1%Peak (2000)
  • 25Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105014501
Filings dropped 46% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.4% against 11.3% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 441 evictions over 17 years of observation.

Cost burden runs 50% here against 45.8% across Polk County. Filings peaked in 2000 at 11.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.6% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Polk County average of 3.9 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014501?

Census tract 12105014501 in Winter Haven scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105014501?

Median gross rent is $1,216/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014501?

16.0% of residents in tract 12105014501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 10,401.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 90th, minority 68th, housing 36th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105014501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 441 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105014501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.62% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105014501 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105014501 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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