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Census Tract · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105014501 · Polk, FL · pop 10,401 · 13% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Tract 12105014501 covers Winter Haven in Florida. Home to 10,401 residents, it scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,216 monthly, set against $58,512 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 10% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units3,502
Renter share19.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$58,512

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Moderate
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#1,298 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#35,899 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 27.9347, -81.7404 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,216 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 014501Winter Haven: 2.42.4Winter Havenparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 441Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 5.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.1%Peak (2000)
  • 25Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050145012000: 46 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)2001: 32 filings (7.73/100 renter HHs)2002: 38 filings (9.18/100 renter HHs)2003: 29 filings (7.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 15 filings (3.62/100 renter HHs)2005: 15 filings (2.30/100 renter HHs)2007: 33 filings (5.07/100 renter HHs)2008: 24 filings (3.69/100 renter HHs)2009: 17 filings (2.61/100 renter HHs)2010: 25 filings (4.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 22 filings (5.03/100 renter HHs)2012: 17 filings (3.89/100 renter HHs)2013: 20 filings (4.58/100 renter HHs)2014: 23 filings (5.26/100 renter HHs)2015: 31 filings (7.09/100 renter HHs)2016: 29 filings (7.21/100 renter HHs)2017: 25 filings (6.22/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Haven, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 441 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 5.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.1% of renter households in 2000.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014501?

Census tract 12105014501 in Winter Haven scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105014501?

Median gross rent is $1,216/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014501?

16.0% of residents in tract 12105014501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 10,401.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 90th, minority 68th, housing 36th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105014501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 441 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105014501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.62% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105014501 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105014501 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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