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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Hudson Bayou Eviction Risk: Lower , Sarasota

Tract 12115000501 · Sarasota, FL · pop 1,697 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

12115000501 is a census tract in the Hudson Bayou area of Sarasota, FL. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,697 residents. Cost burden runs roughly one in four here against 50.3% across Sarasota County.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 10% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units850
Renter share13.6%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$97,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Hudson Bayou
Moderate
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
Very Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#65 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Moderate
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#2,851 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3206, -82.5358 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hudson Bayou scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,369 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Hudson Bayou compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hudson Bayou risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 0005014.2Sarasotaparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 19Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 2.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.5%Peak (2002)
  • 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115000501
Filings dropped 100% over the past 5 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hudson Bayou

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,369, 19% below the Sarasota average.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 19 filings here across 3 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 2.5% of renter households.

In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $97,500, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115000501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000501?

Census tract 12115000501 in the Hudson Bayou neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115000501?

Median gross rent is $1,369/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000501?

5.6% of residents in tract 12115000501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,697.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 8th, minority 28th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 12115000501 considered part of Hudson Bayou?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115000501 fall within Hudson Bayou (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 12115000501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.49% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12115000501 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115000501 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Sarasota at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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