Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora

Tract 17089854403 · Kane County, IL · pop 8,315 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 17089854403 covers part of the Scraper-Moecherville area of Aurora, IL, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 8,315. Cost burden runs 32% here against 45.5% across Kane County.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 30% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units2,359

Renter share44.7%

SVI overall0.88

Poverty rate15.2%

Median income$83,865

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7356, -88.2769 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aurora

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

15.2% poverty · this tract

3.8

Supply constraint

$1,717 rent vs county FMR

4.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aurora

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aurora

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aurora

3.5

How Scraper-Moecherville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
67%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
4%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scraper-Moecherville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.4%Housing insecurity
11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
24.0%Food insecurity
20.5%SNAP enrollment
11.4%Transit barriers
17.7%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
28.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scraper-Moecherville

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2.5/10. Against the Kane County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Aurora. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Aurora eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,717, close to the Aurora average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $83,865.

45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089854403

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089854403?

Census tract 17089854403 in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17089854403?

Median gross rent is $1,717/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089854403?

15.2% of residents in tract 17089854403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,315.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089854403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 81th, minority 86th, housing 67th.

Is tract 17089854403 considered part of Scraper-Moecherville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089854403 fall within Scraper-Moecherville (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17089854403 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17089854403 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089854403 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17089854403 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.