Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

H &K Trailer Court Eviction Risk: Moderate , Decatur

Tract 17115001500 · Macon County, IL · pop 3,978 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

The H &K Trailer Court neighborhood of Decatur anchors census tract 17115001500, which lands at 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 32nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

20% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $68,478 a year. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 8% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units1,705

Renter share9.7%

SVI overall0.45

Poverty rate13.9%

Median income$68,478

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8307, -89.0031 · click any tract to drill in

Why H &K Trailer Court scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

13.9% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Decatur

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Decatur

6.2

How H &K Trailer Court compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

27%Socioeconomic
45%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
76%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

5%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within H &K Trailer Court. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.1%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
12.3%Food insecurity
12.1%SNAP enrollment
6.7%Transit barriers
6.5%No health insurance
15.7%Frequent mental distress
30.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in H &K Trailer Court

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Decatur eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Macon County average of 5.2 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115001500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115001500?

Census tract 17115001500 in the H &K Trailer Court neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115001500?

13.9% of residents in tract 17115001500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,978.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115001500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 45th, minority 32th, housing 76th.

Is tract 17115001500 considered part of H &K Trailer Court?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17115001500 fall within H &K Trailer Court (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17115001500 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17115001500 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115001500 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17115001500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.