Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Decatur Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 17115002001 · Macon County, IL · pop 1,092

Census tract 17115002001 covers part of Decatur, IL, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,092 residents. This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 68% Owners 13%

Tract context

Occupied units648

Renter share86.3%

SVI overall0.76

Poverty rate30.5%

Median income$30,304

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8727, -88.9611 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decatur scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

30.5% poverty · this tract

7.6

Supply constraint

$663 rent vs county FMR

1.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Decatur

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Decatur

6.2

How Decatur compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
57%Household composition
55%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
8%Grade B
11%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.9%Housing insecurity
9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
19.1%Food insecurity
20.6%SNAP enrollment
9.2%Transit barriers
8.4%No health insurance
15.1%Frequent mental distress
38.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decatur

Against Macon County at 34.1%, 21% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. Average gross rent is $663, 22% below the Decatur average.

Against the Macon County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Running hot, economic stress reads 7.6/10. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Decatur. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115002001

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115002001?

Census tract 17115002001 in Decatur scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17115002001?

Median gross rent is $663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115002001?

30.5% of residents in tract 17115002001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,092.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115002001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 57th, minority 55th, housing 87th.

What share of households in tract 17115002001 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17115002001 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115002001 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17115002001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.