Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Decatur Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17115002100 · Macon County, IL · pop 1,192 · 89% of tract blocks fall in Decatur

Census tract 17115002100 runs through Decatur. With 1,192 residents, it scores 6.5/10 for landlords. It lands near the 87th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $906 a month against an average household income of $32,522 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 23% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units661

Renter share49.5%

SVI overall0.78

Poverty rate47.6%

Median income$32,522

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8714, -88.9142 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decatur scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

47.6% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$906 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Decatur

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Decatur

6.2

How Decatur compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

90%Socioeconomic
56%Household composition
52%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
9%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.5%Housing insecurity
19.3%Utility-shutoff threat
36.2%Food insecurity
44.0%SNAP enrollment
17.6%Transit barriers
14.0%No health insurance
23.4%Frequent mental distress
44.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decatur

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Decatur eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Macon County average of 5.2 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 9% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115002100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115002100?

Census tract 17115002100 in Decatur scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17115002100?

Median gross rent is $906/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115002100?

47.6% of residents in tract 17115002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,192.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115002100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 56th, minority 52th, housing 62th.

What share of households in tract 17115002100 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17115002100 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115002100 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17115002100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.