Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Decatur Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 17115000600 · Macon County, IL · pop 1,639

Census tract 17115000600 covers part of Decatur, IL, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,639. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 28% Owners 33%

Tract context

Occupied units636

Renter share66.4%

SVI overall0.93

Poverty rate48.1%

Median income$18,286

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8505, -88.9650 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decatur scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

48.1% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$777 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Decatur

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Decatur

6.2

How Decatur compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
87%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
8%Grade B
53%Grade C
40%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

39.8%Housing insecurity
34.0%Utility-shutoff threat
55.6%Food insecurity
66.6%SNAP enrollment
28.1%Transit barriers
16.4%No health insurance
25.4%Frequent mental distress
49.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decatur

Against Macon County at 34.1%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 66.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 34.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Set annual rent against average income of $18,286 and the ratio lands at 51%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 48%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Macon County average of 4.7.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Average gross rent is $777, 8% below the Decatur average.

Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115000600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115000600?

Census tract 17115000600 in Decatur scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17115000600?

Median gross rent is $777/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115000600?

48.1% of residents in tract 17115000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,639.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 87th, minority 78th, housing 88th.

What share of households in tract 17115000600 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 34.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17115000600 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115000600 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17115000600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 40% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.