Census Tract · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Decatur Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 17115003100 · Macon County, IL · pop 1,822

How risky is Decatur for landlords? Census tract 17115003100 scores 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #16,291 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 2% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $647 a month while the average household earns $25,357 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 87% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 47% Owners 14%

Tract context

Occupied units510

Renter share86.7%

SVI overall0.93

Poverty rate40.2%

Median income$25,357

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Decatur and the region

Centroid at 39.8488, -88.9510 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decatur scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

40.2% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$647 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Decatur

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Decatur

7.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Decatur

6.2

How Decatur compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
22%Grade C
59%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

37.3%Housing insecurity
29.4%Utility-shutoff threat
49.8%Food insecurity
57.4%SNAP enrollment
25.7%Transit barriers
17.5%No health insurance
25.5%Frequent mental distress
45.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decatur

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Decatur eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Macon County average of 5.2 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 37.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 29.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 59% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17115003100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17115003100?

Census tract 17115003100 in Decatur scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17115003100?

Median gross rent is $647/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17115003100?

40.2% of residents in tract 17115003100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,822.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17115003100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 30th, minority 83th, housing 99th.

What share of households in tract 17115003100 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17115003100 compare to Decatur overall?

Tract 17115003100 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Decatur at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Decatur eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17115003100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 59% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Decatur

Top eight tracts in Decatur ranked by composite eviction-risk score.