Census Tract · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Goshen Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 18039000301 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 4,230 · 54% of tract blocks fall in Goshen

The Moderate-tier score of 5.2/10 for census tract 18039000301 reflects conditions in Goshen, Indiana. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,424 a month while the average household earns $73,938 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.2

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units1,327

Renter share12.1%

SVI overall0.57

Poverty rate7.9%

Median income$73,938

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goshen and the region

Centroid at 41.5372, -85.7980 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goshen scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Goshen

4.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.6

State political climate

Indiana legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

7.9% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$1,424 rent vs county FMR

8.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Goshen

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Goshen

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Goshen

7.4

How Goshen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

48%Socioeconomic
20%Household composition
52%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.9%Housing insecurity
10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
20.4%Food insecurity
11.5%SNAP enrollment
10.0%Transit barriers
16.1%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
37.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goshen

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goshen eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Elkhart County average of 4.7 and above the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 18039000301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039000301?

Census tract 18039000301 in Goshen scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 18039000301?

Median gross rent is $1,424/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 18039000301?

7.9% of residents in tract 18039000301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,230.

How socially vulnerable is tract 18039000301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 20th, minority 52th, housing 87th.

What share of households in tract 18039000301 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 18039000301 compare to Goshen overall?

Tract 18039000301 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Goshen at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goshen

Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.