Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Trails End Eviction Risk: Lower , Carmel
Tract 18057110912 ·
Hamilton County, IN · pop 5,196 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 18057110912 covers part of the Trails End area of Carmel, IN, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,196 residents. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 4%Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,761
Renter share6.1%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$143,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#3 of 3 tracts In Trails End
Very Low
Within parent city
11th percentile
#17 of 19 tracts In Carmel
Very Low
Within county
43th percentile
#33 of 57 tracts In Hamilton County
Moderate
Within state
34th percentile
#1,115 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carmel and the region
Centroid at 39.9652, -86.0710 · click any tract to drill in
Why Trails End scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carmel
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,832 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carmel
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carmel
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carmel
3.5
How Trails End compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
7%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
1%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Trails End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
4.7%Housing insecurity
3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
5.5%Food insecurity
2.3%SNAP enrollment
3.5%Transit barriers
4.0%No health insurance
11.3%Frequent mental distress
21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Trails End
Average gross rent is $2,832, 65% above the Carmel average. The voucher gap is 120.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2/10. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hamilton County average of 33.7%. Housing insecurity runs 4.7% against 14.2% nationally.
Adults with no health insurance runs 4.0% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 0.6 points below the Hamilton County average of 3.6.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 18057110912
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18057110912?
Census tract 18057110912 in the Trails End neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 18057110912?
Median gross rent is $2,832/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 18057110912?
1.4% of residents in tract 18057110912 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,196.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 18057110912?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 40th, minority 38th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 18057110912 considered part of Trails End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18057110912 fall within Trails End (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 18057110912 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 18057110912 compare to Carmel overall?
Tract 18057110912 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Carmel at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carmel eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carmel
Top eight tracts in Carmel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.