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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Trails End Eviction Risk: Lower , Carmel

Tract 18057111101 · Hamilton County, IN · pop 3,811 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

18057111101 is a census tract in the Trails End area of Carmel, IN. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,811 residents. Cost burden runs 63% here against 33.7% across Hamilton County.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 6% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,424
Renter share16.6%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$120,269

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Trails End
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 19 tracts In Carmel
Elevated
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 57 tracts In Hamilton County
Moderate
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#964 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carmel and the region

Centroid at 39.9389, -86.0841 · click any tract to drill in

Why Trails End scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carmel
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,647 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carmel
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carmel
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carmel
3.5

How Trails End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Trails End risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.3This tracttract 1111013.4Carmelparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 11Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.1%Peak (2011)
  • 11Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Trails End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Trails End

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.6/10. The voucher gap is 28.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. Food insecurity runs 7.1% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 11 filings here across 1 tracked years.

Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2011 at 4.1% of renter households.

In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 18057111101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18057111101?

Census tract 18057111101 in the Trails End neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18057111101?

Median gross rent is $1,647/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18057111101?

6.3% of residents in tract 18057111101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,811.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18057111101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 15th, minority 33th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 18057111101 considered part of Trails End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18057111101 fall within Trails End (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18057111101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 18057111101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.10% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 18057111101 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 18057111101 compare to Carmel overall?

Tract 18057111101 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Carmel at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carmel eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carmel

Top eight tracts in Carmel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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