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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

South Common Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lowell

Tract 25017312502 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,874 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 25017312502 covers part of the South Common Historic District area of Lowell, MA, and scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 18% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,657
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$117,007

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In South Common Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 26 tracts In Lowell
Very Low
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#139 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#604 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lowell and the region

Centroid at 42.6369, -71.2836 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Common Historic District scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lowell
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,459 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lowell
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lowell
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lowell
6.5

How South Common Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Common Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.7This tracttract 3125026.6Lowellparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 63Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.8%Peak (2013)
  • 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017312502
Filings dropped 40% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Common Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Common Historic District

24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 63 filings here across 5 tracked years. Cost burden runs 39% here against 43.0% across Middlesex County.

Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,459, 10% below the Lowell average.

Filings peaked in 2013 at 3.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $117,007, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017312502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017312502?

Census tract 25017312502 in the South Common Historic District neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017312502?

Median gross rent is $1,459/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017312502?

9.2% of residents in tract 25017312502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,874.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017312502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 33th, minority 42th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 25017312502 considered part of South Common Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017312502 fall within South Common Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017312502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 63 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017312502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.00% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017312502 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25017312502 compare to Lowell overall?

Tract 25017312502 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Lowell at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lowell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lowell

Top eight tracts in Lowell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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