Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
South Common Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Lowell
Tract 25017312502 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,874 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Eviction risk in the South Common Historic District area of Lowell centers on tract 25017312502, which scores $1/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,874 residents. It lands near the 39th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,459 monthly, set against $117,007 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,657
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$117,007
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lowell and the region
Centroid at 42.6369, -71.2836 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Common Historic District scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lowell
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,459 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lowell
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lowell
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lowell
6.5
How South Common Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 63Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2013)
- 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Common Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.0%Food insecurity
- 11.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Common Historic District
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lowell eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 63 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.8% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017312502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017312502?
Census tract 25017312502 in the South Common Historic District neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017312502?
Median gross rent is $1,459/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017312502?
9.2% of residents in tract 25017312502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,874.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017312502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 33th, minority 42th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 25017312502 considered part of South Common Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017312502 fall within South Common Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017312502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 63 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017312502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.00% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017312502 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017312502 compare to Lowell overall?
Tract 25017312502 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Lowell at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lowell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lowell
Top eight tracts in Lowell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
City Hall Historic District
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
City Hall Historic District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
City Hall Historic District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Cambodia Town
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
South Common Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Cambodia Town
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Cambodia Town
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Cambodia Town
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 25017312502
Parent city ↑
Lowell
6.1 / 10
Parent county ↑
Middlesex County
Parent state ↑
Massachusetts
Sibling tract →
South Common Historic District
4.3 / 10
Sibling tract →
South Common Historic District
4.4 / 10
Sibling tract →
South Common Historic District
5.3 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
Explore all 84k tracts