Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
South Common Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lowell
Tract 25017312200 ·
Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,956 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 25017312200 (the South Common Historic District neighborhood of Lowell, Massachusetts) comes in at 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 46th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,691 a month against an average household income of $73,295 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%Stable renters 15%Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,788
Renter share31.4%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$73,295
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25th percentile
#4 of 5 tracts In South Common Historic District
Low
Within parent city
32th percentile
#18 of 26 tracts In Lowell
Low
Within county
83th percentile
#60 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
High
Within state
68th percentile
#512 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lowell and the region
Centroid at 42.6214, -71.3084 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Common Historic District scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lowell
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lowell
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lowell
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lowell
6.5
How South Common Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
37%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
217Total filings over 5 yrs
6.86%Avg annual filing rate
8.2%Peak (2014)
42Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2012 to 2016
Filings climbed 35% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Common Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
15.1%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
17.6%Food insecurity
18.2%SNAP enrollment
10.1%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Common Historic District
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lowell eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 217 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 6.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.2% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017312200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017312200?
Census tract 25017312200 in the South Common Historic District neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017312200?
Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017312200?
6.6% of residents in tract 25017312200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,956.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017312200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 86th, minority 62th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 25017312200 considered part of South Common Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017312200 fall within South Common Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017312200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 217 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017312200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.86% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017312200 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017312200 compare to Lowell overall?
Tract 25017312200 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Lowell at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lowell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lowell
Top eight tracts in Lowell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.