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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally

South Common Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lowell

Tract 25017312200 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,956 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 7.6/10, tract 25017312200 in the South Common Historic District area of Lowell, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,956 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 15% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,788
Renter share31.4%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$73,295

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In South Common Historic District
Low
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 26 tracts In Lowell
Low
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#96 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#403 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lowell and the region

Centroid at 42.6214, -71.3084 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Common Historic District scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lowell
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lowell
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lowell
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lowell
6.5

How South Common Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Common Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.6This tracttract 3122006.6Lowellparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 217Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak (2014)
  • 42Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017312200
Filings climbed 35% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Common Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Common Historic District

20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10.

Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 43.0% across Middlesex County. Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 217 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2014, when 8.2% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #9,927 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017312200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017312200?

Census tract 25017312200 in the South Common Historic District neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017312200?

Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017312200?

6.6% of residents in tract 25017312200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,956.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017312200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 86th, minority 62th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 25017312200 considered part of South Common Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017312200 fall within South Common Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017312200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 217 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017312200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.86% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017312200 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25017312200 compare to Lowell overall?

Tract 25017312200 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lowell at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lowell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lowell

Top eight tracts in Lowell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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