Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Worcester Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25027730600 · Worcester County, MA · pop 9,466

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 25027730600 in Worcester, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 9,466. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10.

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 12% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units3,147

Renter share25.9%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate4.4%

Median income$115,368

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2988, -71.8245 · click any tract to drill in

Why Worcester scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Worcester

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

4.4% poverty · this tract

1.1

Supply constraint

$1,125 rent vs county FMR

1.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Worcester

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Worcester

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Worcester

7.0

How Worcester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
42%Household composition
37%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

5Total filings over 1 yrs
0.81%Avg annual filing rate
0.8%Peak (2015)
5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.8%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
9.4%SNAP enrollment
6.3%Transit barriers
3.5%No health insurance
16.8%Frequent mental distress
26.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Worcester

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Worcester County average of 44.4%. At $1,125 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Worcester commands.

Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 5 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.5% against 11.3% nationally. On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10. Filings peaked in 2015 at 0.8% of renter households.

In a typical year about 0.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $115,368, annual rent is just 12%.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027730600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027730600?

Census tract 25027730600 in Worcester scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25027730600?

Median gross rent is $1,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027730600?

4.4% of residents in tract 25027730600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,466.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027730600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 42th, minority 37th, housing 94th.

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027730600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027730600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.81% of renter households, peaking at 0.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 25027730600 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25027730600 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027730600 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org