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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Elm Park Eviction Risk: High , Worcester

Tract 25027731602 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,108 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 8/10, tract 25027731602 in the Elm Park area of Worcester, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. 61% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 66% Stable renters 31% Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units348
Renter share96.8%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate71.2%
Median income$28,235

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Elm Park
Very Low
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#14 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Elevated
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2731, -71.8081 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elm Park scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
71.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,821 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Elm Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elm Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 731602Worcester: 6.66.6Worcesterparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elm Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elm Park

68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Worcester County average of 44.4%. Annualized rent equals 77% of average household income of $28,235, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 46.4% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 71%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points. At $1,821 a month, rents run 22% over what the rest of Worcester commands.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.2/10.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027731602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731602?

Census tract 25027731602 in the Elm Park neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027731602?

Median gross rent is $1,821/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731602?

71.2% of residents in tract 25027731602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,108.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 2th, minority 39th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 25027731602 considered part of Elm Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027731602 fall within Elm Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25027731602 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25027731602 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027731602 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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