Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Burnsville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27037060738 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,852
Census tract 27037060738 covers part of Burnsville, MN, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,451
Renter share31.8%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$93,958
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burnsville and the region
Centroid at 44.7720, -93.2542 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burnsville scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,599 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0
How Burnsville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 191Total filings over 5 yrs
- 7.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.3%Peak (2011)
- 22Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 60% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.5%Food insecurity
- 8.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burnsville
The main counterweight is economic stress at 2/10. Cost burden runs 55% here against 45.6% across Dakota County.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 191 evictions over 5 years of observation. It sits 0.9 points above the Dakota County average of 4.2.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10. Filings peaked in 2011 at 10.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Average gross rent is $1,599, close to the Burnsville average.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $93,958. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060738
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060738?
Census tract 27037060738 in Burnsville scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060738?
Median gross rent is $1,599/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060738?
7.9% of residents in tract 27037060738 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,852.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060738?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 67th, minority 64th, housing 41th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060738?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 191 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060738 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.19% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060738 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060738 compare to Burnsville overall?
Tract 27037060738 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville
Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27037060710
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060711
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060746
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060737
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060714
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Redwood
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060709
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060753
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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