Within parent city
36
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Burnsville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27037060745 · Dakota County, MN · pop 4,033
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 27037060745 in Burnsville, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,033. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.1/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,674
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$95,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burnsville and the region
Centroid at 44.7432, -93.2881 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burnsville scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,383 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0
How Burnsville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 127Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2011)
- 11Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 59% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burnsville
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.2/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 127 filings here across 5 tracked years. It sits 0.9 points above the Dakota County average of 4.2.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10. Filings peaked in 2011 at 3.0% of renter households.
At $1,383 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Burnsville commands. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $95,000, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060745
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060745?
Census tract 27037060745 in Burnsville scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060745?
Median gross rent is $1,383/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060745?
8.3% of residents in tract 27037060745 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,033.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060745?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 74th, minority 54th, housing 75th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060745?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 127 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060745 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.50% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060745 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060745 compare to Burnsville overall?
Tract 27037060745 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville
Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27037060710
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060711
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060746
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060737
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060714
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Redwood
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060709
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060753
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Related