Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Apple Valley Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060829 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,492
The Moderate-tier score of 5.9/10 for census tract 27037060829 reflects conditions in Apple Valley, Minnesota. That is riskier than roughly 71% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,789 a month while the average household earns $88,417 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,683
Renter share32.6%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$88,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region
Centroid at 44.7258, -93.1861 · click any tract to drill in
Why Apple Valley scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,789 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
5.2
How Apple Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 72Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2009)
- 14Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 8.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Apple Valley
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060829
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060829?
Census tract 27037060829 in Apple Valley scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060829?
Median gross rent is $1,789/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060829?
9.8% of residents in tract 27037060829 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,492.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060829?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 39th, minority 67th, housing 12th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060829?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 72 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060829 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.32% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060829 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060829 compare to Apple Valley overall?
Tract 27037060829 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley
Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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