White Bear Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27123040502 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,720
Tract 27123040502 sits in White Bear Lake eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. It is home to 2,720 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across White Bear Lake and the region
Centroid at 45.0918, -93.0129 · click any tract to drill in
Why White Bear Lake scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow White Bear Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 72Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2009)
- 11Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 19Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.9%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in White Bear Lake
26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Ramsey County average of 47.3%. Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 72 evictions over 7 years of observation.
Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,407, 12% below the White Bear Lake average.
Filings peaked in 2009 at 3.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 6.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 27123040502
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123040502?
What is the average rent in tract 27123040502?
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123040502?
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123040502?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123040502?
Did eviction filings in tract 27123040502 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 27123040502 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 27123040502 compare to White Bear Lake overall?
Highest-risk tracts in White Bear Lake
Top eight tracts in White Bear Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.