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Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Duluth Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27137001700 · St. Louis County, MN · pop 1,171 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Duluth

27137001700 is a census tract in Duluth, MN. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 40%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58% Stable renters 38% Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units800
Renter share95.6%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate42.7%
Median income$25,811

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 34 tracts In Duluth
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 74 tracts In St. Louis County
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#254 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#21,564 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Duluth and the region

Centroid at 46.7952, -92.0864 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duluth scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Duluth
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
42.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,006 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Duluth
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Duluth
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Duluth
5.0

How Duluth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Duluth risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0017004.3Duluthparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duluth

Against St. Louis County at 40.0%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. Set annual rent against average income of $25,811 and the ratio lands at 47%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the St. Louis County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,006, close to the Duluth average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27137001700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27137001700?

Census tract 27137001700 in Duluth scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27137001700?

Median gross rent is $1,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27137001700?

42.7% of residents in tract 27137001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,171.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27137001700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 28th, minority 37th, housing 83th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 27137001700 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 27137001700 compare to Duluth overall?

Tract 27137001700 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Duluth at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Duluth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 27137001700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Duluth

Top eight tracts in Duluth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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