Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Black Jack Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189210807 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 4,727 · 16% of tract blocks fall in Black Jack
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 29189210807 (Black Jack, Missouri) comes in at 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,211 a month against an average household income of $76,746 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,953
Renter share28.6%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$76,746
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
National
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Black Jack and the region
Centroid at 38.8050, -90.2409 · click any tract to drill in
Why Black Jack scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Black Jack
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,211 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Black Jack
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Black Jack
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Black Jack
7.5
How Black Jack compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 700Total filings 2020-21
- 9.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.37×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.5%Housing insecurity
- 18.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.2%Food insecurity
- 23.1%SNAP enrollment
- 14.2%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 41.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Black Jack
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Black Jack, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.37x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189210807
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189210807?
Census tract 29189210807 in Black Jack scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189210807?
Median gross rent is $1,211/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189210807?
16.0% of residents in tract 29189210807 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,727.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189210807?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 45th, minority 86th, housing 40th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189210807 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.37× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189210807 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189210807 compare to Black Jack overall?
Tract 29189210807 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Black Jack at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Black Jack; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Black Jack
Top eight tracts in Black Jack ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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