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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Varsity neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , University City

Tract 29189216201 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,910 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

29189216201 is a census tract in the Varsity neighborhood area of University City, MO. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,910 residents. roughly one in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the St. Louis County average of 42.0%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 22% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,878
Renter share28.6%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$138,602

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 9 tracts In Varsity neighborhood
Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 11 tracts In University City
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#216 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Very Low
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#1,113 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across University City and the region

Centroid at 38.6578, -90.3272 · click any tract to drill in

Why Varsity neighborhood scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,505 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
2.1

How Varsity neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Varsity neighborhood risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 2162013.4University Cityparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 160Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.30×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Varsity neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Varsity neighborhood

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

The voucher gap is 23.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 7.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Average gross rent is $1,505, 14% above the University City average.

This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $138,602, annual rent is just 13%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189216201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189216201?

Census tract 29189216201 in the Varsity neighborhood neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189216201?

Median gross rent is $1,505/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189216201?

5.5% of residents in tract 29189216201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,910.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189216201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 8th, minority 29th, housing 3th.
Q5

Is tract 29189216201 considered part of Varsity neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189216201 fall within Varsity neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189216201 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.30× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189216201 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189216201 compare to University City overall?

Tract 29189216201 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of University City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 29189216201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in University City

Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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