Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Affton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189220001 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 4,772 · 57% of tract blocks fall in Affton
Census tract 29189220001 covers part of Affton, MO, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,772 residents. Cost burden runs 16% here against 42.0% across St. Louis County.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,032
Renter share15.5%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$76,815
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Affton and the region
Centroid at 38.5417, -90.3142 · click any tract to drill in
Why Affton scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Affton
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,306 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Affton
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Affton
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Affton
3.8
How Affton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 62Total filings over 8 yrs
- 2.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2010)
- 7Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 133% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 37Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Affton
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. At $1,306 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of Affton commands.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 62 filings here across 8 tracked years.
It sits 0.7 points below the St. Louis County average of 4.0. Filings peaked in 2010 at 5.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189220001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189220001?
Census tract 29189220001 in Affton scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189220001?
Median gross rent is $1,306/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189220001?
7.8% of residents in tract 29189220001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,772.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189220001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 27th, minority 20th, housing 8th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189220001?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 62 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189220001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.41% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189220001 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189220001 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189220001 compare to Affton overall?
Tract 29189220001 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Affton at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Affton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189220001 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Affton
Top eight tracts in Affton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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