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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

The Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis

Tract 29510117100 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 1,523 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Hill in St. Louis is where census tract 29510117100 sits, home to 1,523 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.3/10. On the national scale it ranks #42,741 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 34% of renter households, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,036 a month against an average household income of $61,023 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 74% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 49% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units899
Renter share73.6%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$61,023

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In The Hill
Very High
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 104 tracts In St. Louis
Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 104 tracts In St. Louis city
Low
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#708 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6146, -90.2620 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Hill scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,036 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0

How The Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 117100St. Louis: 3.33.3St. Louisparent cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 304Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 2.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak (2011)
  • 19Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 295101171002004: 34 filings (4.28/100 renter HHs)2005: 29 filings (3.34/100 renter HHs)2006: 28 filings (3.23/100 renter HHs)2007: 30 filings (3.46/100 renter HHs)2008: 29 filings (3.34/100 renter HHs)2009: 18 filings (2.08/100 renter HHs)2010: 24 filings (3.04/100 renter HHs)2011: 37 filings (4.76/100 renter HHs)2012: 20 filings (2.57/100 renter HHs)2013: 10 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)2015: 10 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)2016: 16 filings (1.93/100 renter HHs)2017: 19 filings (2.29/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 52Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Hill

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.59x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29510117100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510117100?

Census tract 29510117100 in the The Hill neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29510117100?

Median gross rent is $1,036/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29510117100?

10.2% of residents in tract 29510117100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,523.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29510117100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 0th, minority 49th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 29510117100 considered part of The Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510117100 fall within The Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510117100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 304 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510117100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.84% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 29510117100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 29510117100 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 29510117100 compare to St. Louis overall?

Tract 29510117100 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 29510117100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis

Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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