Census Tract · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Elizabeth Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34039032101 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,589

With a score of 6.6/10, tract 34039032101 in Elizabeth, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,589. The severe-burden share is 54%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 22% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units1,227

Renter share52.1%

SVI overall0.71

Poverty rate2.0%

Median income$118,848

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region

Centroid at 40.6672, -74.2390 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elizabeth scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Elizabeth

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.8

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

2.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,217 rent vs county FMR

5.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Elizabeth

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Elizabeth

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Elizabeth

7.0

How Elizabeth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
34%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

1%Grade A
57%Grade B
30%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.4%Housing insecurity
9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
20.0%Food insecurity
11.5%SNAP enrollment
9.8%Transit barriers
18.6%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
27.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth

Average gross rent is $2,217, 46% above the Elizabeth average. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Union County average of 44.6%.

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.6% against 11.3% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Union County average of 6.6 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039032101

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039032101?

Census tract 34039032101 in Elizabeth scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 34039032101?

Median gross rent is $2,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039032101?

2.0% of residents in tract 34039032101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,589.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039032101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 34th, minority 79th, housing 51th.

What share of households in tract 34039032101 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 34039032101 compare to Elizabeth overall?

Tract 34039032101 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 34039032101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth

Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.