Eviction Risk in Elmwood Village , Buffalo
Tract 36029006602 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,381 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 36029006602 sits in the Elmwood Village neighborhood of Buffalo, New York. It has a population of 2,381 and an eviction-risk score of 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). 48% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 19% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,095/month against a median household income of $72,108 — roughly 18% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 2,467 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 7.5%
- White (non-Hispanic) 75.5%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 15%
- Other / Multiracial 2%
How the 6.6/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | — | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 7.3 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 5.7 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 8.0 | Buffalo (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 7.5 | Buffalo (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 8.0 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 7.5 | Buffalo (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 7.5 | Buffalo (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 2.9 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 4.3 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elmwood Village. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.3%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 24.7%Any disability
Dominant grade: A — best — Mortgage-friendly under New Deal lending rules
Approximately 92% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Buffalo. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 74.9%A (Best)
- 17.4%B (Desirable)
- 0.0%C (Declining)
- 0.0%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 36029006602
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029006602?
Census tract 36029006602 in the Elmwood Village neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 36029006602?
Median gross rent is $1,095/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029006602?
11.6% of residents in tract 36029006602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,381.
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029006602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 16th, minority 35th, housing 87th.
Is tract 36029006602 considered part of Elmwood Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029006602 fall within Elmwood Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
What share of households in tract 36029006602 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 36029006602 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is A (Best). Roughly 0% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Buffalo. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.