Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Old West Durham Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37063000402 · Durham County, NC · pop 2,653 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 37063000402 in the Old West Durham area of Durham, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,653. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,650
Renter share82.1%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate26.4%
Median income$45,763
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 36.0117, -78.9262 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old West Durham scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
26.4% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,808 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Old West Durham compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 5%Grade B
- 75%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 450Total filings over 11 yrs
- 4.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2005)
- 28Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 72% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.7%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 22.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old West Durham
Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $45,763, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Durham County average of 4.1.
Against Durham County at 43.8%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,808 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Durham commands.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 450 filings here across 11 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2005 at 10.7% of renter households.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063000402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063000402?
Census tract 37063000402 in the Old West Durham neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063000402?
Median gross rent is $1,808/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063000402?
26.4% of residents in tract 37063000402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,653.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063000402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 1th, minority 53th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 37063000402 considered part of Old West Durham?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063000402 fall within Old West Durham (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063000402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 450 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063000402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.70% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063000402 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063000402 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063000402 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37063000402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Beech Lake
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Swann's Mill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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