Hillcrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Annualized rent equals 51% of average household income of $32,425, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. SNAP participation runs 28.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 30.6% against 17.8% nationally. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Against the Durham County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 3,506 eviction filings across 11 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 59.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Durham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.