Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Hillcrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063001002 · Durham County, NC · pop 5,501 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 37063001002 covers part of the Hillcrest area of Durham, NC, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,501 residents. Food insecurity runs 41.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,940
Renter share68.3%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate25.9%
Median income$48,303
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 35.9956, -78.8698 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hillcrest scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
25.9% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$923 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Hillcrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 12%Grade C
- 4%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6,056Total filings over 11 yrs
- 36.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 58.7%Peak (2006)
- 286Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 60% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hillcrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.1%Housing insecurity
- 21.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.9%Food insecurity
- 39.7%SNAP enrollment
- 21.2%Transit barriers
- 26.8%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 44.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hillcrest
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Average gross rent is $923, 39% below the Durham average.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
It sits 1.3 points above the Durham County average of 4.1. Court records carry 6,056 eviction filings across 11 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 58.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Durham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 36.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063001002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001002?
Census tract 37063001002 in the Hillcrest neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063001002?
Median gross rent is $923/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001002?
25.9% of residents in tract 37063001002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,501.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 76th, minority 89th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 37063001002 considered part of Hillcrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001002 fall within Hillcrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6,056 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 36.51% of renter households, peaking at 58.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063001002 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063001002 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063001002 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37063001002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Hayti
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
L L Wilkins
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Duke Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
The Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Crest Street
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Old West Durham
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Burch Avenue
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related