2 census tracts · pop 8,879 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
Hillcrest is a 2-tract neighborhood of Durham, NC and houses 8,879 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Durham baseline of 29.4%, roughly one in two of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The severe-burden share is 24%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. At $1,100 a month, rents sit 27% under what the rest of Durham commands.
Food insecurity affects 36.3% of adults, 18.5 points above the national rate. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 27.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.
The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 9,562 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 59.8% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 17.8% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 58 mapped neighborhoods of Durham, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Hillcrest vs DurhamHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Hillcrest
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
9,562Total filings (sum)
36.78%Avg annual filing rate
59.8%Peak year (2009)
17.52%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hillcrest
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
28.6%Housing insecurity
19.9%Utility shutoff threat
37.6%Food insecurity
35.3%SNAP enrollment
23.3%No health insurance
41.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Hillcrest
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Hillcrest?
Hillcrest scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Hillcrest compare to Durham overall?
Hillcrest scores 1.4 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,100 vs $1,508.
Q3
What is the average rent in Hillcrest?
Average gross rent in Hillcrest is $1,100/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Hillcrest residents are renters?
62% of Hillcrest households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 8,879 residents.
Q5
Is Hillcrest a high social-vulnerability area?
Hillcrest sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Hillcrest have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Hillcrest is census tract 37063001002 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Hillcrest for landlords?
Hillcrest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Hillcrest?
Hillcrest has 8,883 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (49%), Black (non-Hispanic) (29.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (16.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
