Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Trinity Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham

Tract 37063001503 · Durham County, NC · pop 1,750 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 37063001503 belongs to the Trinity Heights area of Durham, North Carolina. It is home to 1,750 residents and scores 5.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 60th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Risk score

2.2

Lower

Confidence 45% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%

Tract context

SVI overall-10.00

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 36.0066, -78.9157 · click any tract to drill in

Why Trinity Heights scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Durham

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

this tract poverty rate

3.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Durham

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Durham

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Durham

4.5

How Trinity Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: -1,000

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

-1,000%Socioeconomic
-1,000%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
-1,000%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.9%Housing insecurity
10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
22.0%Food insecurity
14.4%SNAP enrollment
16.3%Transit barriers
8.8%No health insurance
24.6%Frequent mental distress
30.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Trinity Heights

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Durham County average of 5.9 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 1000th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063001503

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001503?

Census tract 37063001503 in the Trinity Heights neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 67th, housing -1000th.

Is tract 37063001503 considered part of Trinity Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001503 fall within Trinity Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37063001503 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37063001503 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063001503 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 37063001503 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.