Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Trinity Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham
Tract 37063001503 ·
Durham County, NC · pop 1,750 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 37063001503 sits in the Trinity Heights area of Durham eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 1,750 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 45% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%Stable renters 0%Owners 100%
Tract context
SVI overall-10.00
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Trinity Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
22th percentile
#55 of 70 tracts In Durham
Low
Within county
22th percentile
#53 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Low
Within state
28th percentile
#1,927 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 36.0066, -78.9157 · click any tract to drill in
Why Trinity Heights scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
this tract poverty rate
3.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Trinity Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: -1,000
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
-1,000%Socioeconomic
-1,000%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
-1,000%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
17.9%Housing insecurity
10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
22.0%Food insecurity
14.4%SNAP enrollment
16.3%Transit barriers
8.8%No health insurance
24.6%Frequent mental distress
30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Trinity Heights
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Against the Durham County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Durham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Model confidence here is 45%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063001503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001503?
Census tract 37063001503 in the Trinity Heights neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 67th, housing -1000th.
Q3
Is tract 37063001503 considered part of Trinity Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001503 fall within Trinity Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q4
What share of households in tract 37063001503 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 37063001503 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063001503 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q6
Was tract 37063001503 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.