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Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally

Heritage Park/Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Bismarck

Tract 38015011104 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 7,125 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Eviction risk in Heritage Park/Ridge in Bismarck centers on tract 38015011104, which scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) and is home to 7,125 residents. It lands near the 3rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,450 a month against an average household income of $145,208 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 6% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 3% Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units2,753
Renter share5.7%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$145,208

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Heritage Park/Ridge
Moderate
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 16 tracts In Bismarck
Very Low
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 19 tracts In Burleigh County
Very Low
Within state
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#226 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.8517, -100.8183 · click any tract to drill in

Why Heritage Park/Ridge scores 1.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bismarck
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,450 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bismarck
1.5

How Heritage Park/Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Heritage Park/Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.21.2This tracttract 011104Bismarck: 1.71.7Bismarckparent cityCounty: 2.62.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Heritage Park/Ridge

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Burleigh County average of 2.9 and in line with the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015011104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015011104?

Census tract 38015011104 in the Heritage Park/Ridge neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38015011104?

Median gross rent is $1,450/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015011104?

1.4% of residents in tract 38015011104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,125.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015011104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 34th, minority 12th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 38015011104 considered part of Heritage Park/Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38015011104 fall within Heritage Park/Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 38015011104 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 38015011104 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015011104 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bismarck at 1.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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