South Main Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middletown
Tract 39017013100 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,260 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 39017013100 covers part of the South Main Street Historic District area of Middletown, OH, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,260 residents. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.5060, -84.4014 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Main Street Historic District scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow South Main Street Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 883Total filings over 13 yrs
- 13.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.1%Peak (2018)
- 98Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Main Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.6%Housing insecurity
- 20.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.7%Food insecurity
- 34.3%SNAP enrollment
- 17.2%Transit barriers
- 14.7%No health insurance
- 23.0%Frequent mental distress
- 39.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in South Main Street Historic District
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.3/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.8/10.
50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Butler County average of 39.6%. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10.
Against the Butler County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Housing insecurity runs 25.6% against 14.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Court records carry 883 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Filings peaked in 2018 at 19.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 13.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 39017013100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017013100?
What is the average rent in tract 39017013100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017013100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017013100?
Is tract 39017013100 considered part of South Main Street Historic District?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017013100?
What share of households in tract 39017013100 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39017013100 compare to Middletown overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.