South Main Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middletown
Tract 39017013000 · Butler County, OH · pop 1,710 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
In the South Main Street Historic District area of Middletown, census tract 39017013000 scores 6.1/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,061 a month against an average household income of $49,844 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.5101, -84.4130 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Main Street Historic District scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow South Main Street Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 600Total filings over 13 yrs
- 14.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.2%Peak (2018)
- 74Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Main Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.1%Housing insecurity
- 17.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.5%Food insecurity
- 28.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 12.7%No health insurance
- 20.8%Frequent mental distress
- 36.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in South Main Street Historic District
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Butler County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 600 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 14.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 20.2% of renter households in 2018.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 39017013000
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017013000?
What is the average rent in tract 39017013000?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017013000?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017013000?
Is tract 39017013000 considered part of South Main Street Historic District?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017013000?
What share of households in tract 39017013000 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39017013000 compare to Middletown overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.