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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Gulf Road Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Elyria

Tract 39093070101 · Lorain County, OH · pop 3,791 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 39093070101 covers the Gulf Road Heights neighborhood of Elyria, home to 3,791 residents. For landlords it grades 4.3/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #69,377 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 0% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,125 a month against an average household income of $75,072 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 7% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,611
Renter share6.9%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$75,072

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Gulf Road Heights
Very High
Within parent city
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 18 tracts In Elyria
Very Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Moderate
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#1,808 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elyria and the region

Centroid at 41.3939, -82.0838 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gulf Road Heights scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,125 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4

How Gulf Road Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gulf Road Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 070101Elyria: 2.72.7Elyriaparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 22Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 3.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.5%Peak (2014)
  • 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390930701012002: 1 filings (1.96/100 renter HHs)2003: 2 filings (3.92/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (9.30/100 renter HHs)2006: 1 filings (2.33/100 renter HHs)2012: 1 filings (1.10/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (1.10/100 renter HHs)2014: 5 filings (5.49/100 renter HHs)2015: 1 filings (1.10/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (5.48/100 renter HHs)2018: 2 filings (2.74/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gulf Road Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gulf Road Heights

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elyria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lorain County average of 5.3 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 22 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 3.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.5% of renter households in 2014.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093070101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093070101?

Census tract 39093070101 in the Gulf Road Heights neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093070101?

Median gross rent is $1,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093070101?

5.9% of residents in tract 39093070101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,791.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093070101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 16th, minority 21th, housing 3th.
Q5

Is tract 39093070101 considered part of Gulf Road Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093070101 fall within Gulf Road Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093070101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 39093070101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.45% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093070101 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093070101 compare to Elyria overall?

Tract 39093070101 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elyria

Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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