Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Gulf Road Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Elyria
Tract 39093070102 · Lorain County, OH · pop 4,886 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 39093070102 belongs to the Gulf Road Heights area of Elyria, Ohio. It is home to 4,886 residents and scores 4.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 28% of US census tracts.
25% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $867 a month against an average household income of $71,036 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,259
Renter share32.9%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$71,036
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elyria and the region
Centroid at 41.4050, -82.0753 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gulf Road Heights scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$867 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4
How Gulf Road Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 745Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.9%Peak (2005)
- 62Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Gulf Road Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 28.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gulf Road Heights
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elyria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lorain County average of 5.3 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 745 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 8.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.9% of renter households in 2005.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093070102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093070102?
Census tract 39093070102 in the Gulf Road Heights neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093070102?
Median gross rent is $867/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093070102?
3.8% of residents in tract 39093070102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,886.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093070102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 14th, minority 40th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 39093070102 considered part of Gulf Road Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093070102 fall within Gulf Road Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093070102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 745 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093070102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.04% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39093070102 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39093070102 compare to Elyria overall?
Tract 39093070102 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elyria
Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Colonial Oaks
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Elyria
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Elyria
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Washington Avenue Historic District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Eastern Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Pikewood Manor
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Washington Village
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Colonial Oaks
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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