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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Gulf Road Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Elyria

Tract 39093070102 · Lorain County, OH · pop 4,886 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 39093070102 sits in the Gulf Road Heights area of Elyria eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.3/10. Population here is 4,886. Against Lorain County at 40.1%, 25% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 25% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,259
Renter share32.9%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$71,036

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Gulf Road Heights
Very Low
Within parent city
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 18 tracts In Elyria
Very Low
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Moderate
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#1,963 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elyria and the region

Centroid at 41.4050, -82.0753 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gulf Road Heights scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$867 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4

How Gulf Road Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gulf Road Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.3This tracttract 0701024.0Elyriaparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 745Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 8.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.9%Peak (2005)
  • 62Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39093070102
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gulf Road Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gulf Road Heights

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.

Court records carry 745 eviction filings across 11 observed years. It sits 0.8 points below the Lorain County average of 4.1. Filings peaked in 2005 at 10.9% of renter households.

In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $71,036, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093070102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093070102?

Census tract 39093070102 in the Gulf Road Heights neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093070102?

Median gross rent is $867/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093070102?

3.8% of residents in tract 39093070102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,886.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093070102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 14th, minority 40th, housing 10th.
Q5

Is tract 39093070102 considered part of Gulf Road Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093070102 fall within Gulf Road Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093070102?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 745 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093070102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.04% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093070102 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093070102 compare to Elyria overall?

Tract 39093070102 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Elyria at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elyria

Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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