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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Washington Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elyria

Tract 39093070500 · Lorain County, OH · pop 2,702 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 39093070500 belongs to Washington Avenue Historic District in Elyria, Ohio. It is home to 2,702 residents and scores 6.1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 77% of US census tracts.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $835 a month against an average household income of $42,221 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 22% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,229
Renter share48.1%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate24.5%
Median income$42,221

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Washington Avenue Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 18 tracts In Elyria
High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#16 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#622 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elyria and the region

Centroid at 41.3770, -82.1180 · click any tract to drill in

Why Washington Avenue Historic District scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
24.5% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$835 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4

How Washington Avenue Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Washington Avenue Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 070500Elyria: 2.72.7Elyriaparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 393Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 6.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.4%Peak (2002)
  • 42Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390930705002002: 53 filings (11.42/100 renter HHs)2003: 45 filings (9.70/100 renter HHs)2004: 37 filings (7.97/100 renter HHs)2005: 50 filings (9.28/100 renter HHs)2006: 40 filings (7.42/100 renter HHs)2012: 20 filings (3.64/100 renter HHs)2013: 22 filings (4.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 19 filings (3.45/100 renter HHs)2015: 40 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2016: 25 filings (3.91/100 renter HHs)2018: 42 filings (6.57/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Washington Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Washington Avenue Historic District

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elyria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lorain County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 393 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 6.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.4% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093070500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093070500?

Census tract 39093070500 in the Washington Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093070500?

Median gross rent is $835/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093070500?

24.5% of residents in tract 39093070500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,702.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093070500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 67th, minority 51th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 39093070500 considered part of Washington Avenue Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093070500 fall within Washington Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093070500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 393 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093070500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.79% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093070500 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093070500 compare to Elyria overall?

Tract 39093070500 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elyria

Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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