Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Shoreland Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo
Tract 39095001201 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,064 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 39095001201 sits in the Shoreland area of Toledo eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. It is home to 2,064 residents. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units767
Renter share27.2%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$56,534
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6970, -83.4821 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shoreland scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$940 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0
How Shoreland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 11%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 807Total filings over 15 yrs
- 27.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 68.7%Peak (2003)
- 38Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 59% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shoreland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.0%Food insecurity
- 20.6%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shoreland
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Court records carry 807 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
It sits 0.9 points above the Lucas County average of 4.2. Filings peaked in 2003 at 68.7% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 27.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $940, close to the Toledo average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39095001201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095001201?
Census tract 39095001201 in the Shoreland neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39095001201?
Median gross rent is $940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095001201?
24.0% of residents in tract 39095001201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,064.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095001201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 73th, minority 55th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 39095001201 considered part of Shoreland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095001201 fall within Shoreland (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095001201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 807 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095001201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.56% of renter households, peaking at 68.7% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39095001201 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39095001201 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 39095001201 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39095001201 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
North Towne
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Auburn-Delaware
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Heather Downs
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Scott Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
East Toledo
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Middle Grounds
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Old Towne
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
ONYX
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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