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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Uptown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095002700 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,152 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 39095002700, home to 1,152 residents in Uptown in Toledo, scores 5.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #24,593 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $738 monthly, set against $32,443 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 65% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units709
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate43.9%
Median income$32,443

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Uptown
Moderate
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Elevated
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Elevated
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#424 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6577, -83.5482 · click any tract to drill in

Why Uptown scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
43.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$738 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Uptown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Uptown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 002700Toledo: 3.33.3Toledoparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 968Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 13.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.7%Peak (2010)
  • 81Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390950027002003: 59 filings (14.86/100 renter HHs)2004: 60 filings (15.11/100 renter HHs)2005: 59 filings (13.38/100 renter HHs)2006: 66 filings (14.97/100 renter HHs)2007: 40 filings (9.07/100 renter HHs)2008: 45 filings (10.20/100 renter HHs)2009: 58 filings (13.15/100 renter HHs)2010: 83 filings (15.72/100 renter HHs)2011: 68 filings (12.19/100 renter HHs)2012: 70 filings (12.54/100 renter HHs)2013: 66 filings (11.83/100 renter HHs)2014: 55 filings (9.86/100 renter HHs)2015: 80 filings (14.34/100 renter HHs)2016: 78 filings (14.89/100 renter HHs)2018: 81 filings (15.46/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 37% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Uptown

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 29.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 26.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 968 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 13.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.7% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095002700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095002700?

Census tract 39095002700 in the Uptown neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095002700?

Median gross rent is $738/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095002700?

43.9% of residents in tract 39095002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,152.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095002700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 84th, minority 73th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 39095002700 considered part of Uptown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095002700 fall within Uptown (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095002700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 968 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095002700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.17% of renter households, peaking at 15.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39095002700 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39095002700 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095002700 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39095002700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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