Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Kettering Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39113021000 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,856
Census tract 39113021000 covers part of Kettering, OH, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2/10.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units741
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$60,208
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kettering and the region
Centroid at 39.7131, -84.1480 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kettering scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,116 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9
How Kettering compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 30%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 102Total filings over 17 yrs
- 4.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.2%Peak (2005)
- 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.7%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.2%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kettering
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Montgomery County average of 42.9%.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 102 evictions over 17 years of observation. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 12.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,116, close to the Kettering average.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $60,208.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113021000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113021000?
Census tract 39113021000 in Kettering scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113021000?
Median gross rent is $1,116/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113021000?
8.2% of residents in tract 39113021000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,856.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113021000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 39th, minority 28th, housing 23th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113021000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 102 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113021000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.06% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113021000 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113021000 compare to Kettering overall?
Tract 39113021000 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 39113021000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 30% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kettering
Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39113021800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020400
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021501
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021100
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020100
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Dayton
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021502
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021301
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Related