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Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113060300 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 4,014 · 31% of tract blocks fall in Dayton

With a score of 4.4/10, tract 39113060300 in Dayton ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,014 residents. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

9% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,079 a month while the average household earns $61,757 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 40% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,201
Renter share44.2%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate22.5%
Median income$61,757

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#40 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Low
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#783 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,017 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7299, -84.2683 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dayton scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
22.5% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,079 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Dayton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dayton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 060300Dayton: 3.43.4Daytonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 378Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 5.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak (2015)
  • 25Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130603002002: 13 filings (3.74/100 renter HHs)2003: 17 filings (4.89/100 renter HHs)2004: 16 filings (4.60/100 renter HHs)2005: 17 filings (4.03/100 renter HHs)2006: 22 filings (5.21/100 renter HHs)2007: 18 filings (4.27/100 renter HHs)2008: 18 filings (4.27/100 renter HHs)2009: 20 filings (4.74/100 renter HHs)2010: 27 filings (6.57/100 renter HHs)2011: 30 filings (7.01/100 renter HHs)2012: 24 filings (5.61/100 renter HHs)2013: 17 filings (3.97/100 renter HHs)2014: 23 filings (5.37/100 renter HHs)2015: 35 filings (8.18/100 renter HHs)2016: 29 filings (6.99/100 renter HHs)2017: 27 filings (6.51/100 renter HHs)2018: 25 filings (6.02/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 92% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dayton

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 378 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 5.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.2% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113060300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113060300?

Census tract 39113060300 in Dayton scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113060300?

Median gross rent is $1,079/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 9% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113060300?

22.5% of residents in tract 39113060300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,014.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113060300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 69th, minority 83th, housing 50th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113060300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 378 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113060300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.41% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113060300 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113060300 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113060300 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39113060300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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