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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113060300 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 4,014 · 31% of tract blocks fall in Dayton

Census tract 39113060300 covers part of Dayton, OH, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,014 residents. Cost burden runs 9% here against 42.9% across Montgomery County.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 40% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,201
Renter share44.2%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate22.5%
Median income$61,757

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Very Low
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#60 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#933 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7299, -84.2683 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dayton scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
22.5% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,079 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Dayton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dayton risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0603004.0Daytonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 378Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 5.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak (2015)
  • 25Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113060300
Filings climbed 92% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dayton

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. At $1,079 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Dayton commands. Housing insecurity runs 23.1% against 14.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 378 evictions over 17 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. It sits 0.8 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.2.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 8.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113060300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113060300?

Census tract 39113060300 in Dayton scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113060300?

Median gross rent is $1,079/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 9% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113060300?

22.5% of residents in tract 39113060300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,014.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113060300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 69th, minority 83th, housing 50th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113060300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 378 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113060300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.41% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113060300 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113060300 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113060300 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39113060300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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