Dunbar Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton
Tract 39113165100 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,456 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
The Elevated-tier score of $1/10 for census tract 39113165100 reflects conditions in the Dunbar Historic District area of Dayton, Ohio. On the national scale it ranks #21,913 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $422 monthly, set against $16,383 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 74% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7537, -84.2172 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dunbar Historic District scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Dunbar Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 76%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 996Total filings over 17 yrs
- 8.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.2%Peak (2005)
- 76Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Dunbar Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 37.0%Housing insecurity
- 33.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 49.8%Food insecurity
- 56.3%SNAP enrollment
- 26.5%Transit barriers
- 14.6%No health insurance
- 24.0%Frequent mental distress
- 47.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Dunbar Historic District
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 37.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 33.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 39113165100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113165100?
What is the average rent in tract 39113165100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113165100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113165100?
Is tract 39113165100 considered part of Dunbar Historic District?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113165100?
What share of households in tract 39113165100 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39113165100 compare to Dayton overall?
Was tract 39113165100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.