Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Dunbar Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113004100 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,822 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 39113004100 covers part of the Dunbar Historic District area of Dayton, OH, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 36% Owners 31%

Tract context

Occupied units855

Renter share69.7%

SVI overall0.89

Poverty rate41.9%

Median income$24,620

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7397, -84.2294 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dunbar Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dayton

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

41.9% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$606 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dayton

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dayton

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dayton

3.5

How Dunbar Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

89%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
94%Racial/ethnic minority
49%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
48%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,996Total filings over 17 yrs
17.82%Avg annual filing rate
24.8%Peak (2009)
127Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 to 2018

Filings climbed 34% over the past 17 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dunbar Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

36.5%Housing insecurity
32.1%Utility-shutoff threat
49.7%Food insecurity
54.6%SNAP enrollment
25.7%Transit barriers
15.4%No health insurance
23.0%Frequent mental distress
48.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dunbar Historic District

Food insecurity runs 49.7% against 17.8% nationally. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Housing insecurity runs 36.5% against 14.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Average gross rent is $606, 34% below the Dayton average. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

It sits 1.2 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.2. Cost burden runs 48% here against 42.9% across Montgomery County. The filing record is not thin: 1,996 evictions over 17 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 24.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113004100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113004100?

Census tract 39113004100 in the Dunbar Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39113004100?

Median gross rent is $606/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113004100?

41.9% of residents in tract 39113004100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,822.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113004100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 94th, minority 94th, housing 49th.

Is tract 39113004100 considered part of Dunbar Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113004100 fall within Dunbar Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113004100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,996 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113004100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.82% of renter households, peaking at 24.8% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39113004100 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 32.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39113004100 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113004100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39113004100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 48% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org